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dc.contributor.authorAyres, Ian
dc.contributor.authorDonohue, John
dc.date2021-11-25T13:34:15.000
dc.date.accessioned2021-11-26T11:35:13Z
dc.date.available2021-11-26T11:35:13Z
dc.date.issued2003-01-01T00:00:00-08:00
dc.identifierfss_papers/1242
dc.identifier.citationIan Ayres & John J Donohue III, The latest misfires in support of the more guns, less crime hypothesis, 55 STAN. L. REV. 1371 (2002).
dc.identifier.contextkey1679337
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/20.500.13051/446
dc.description.abstractIn our initial article—Shooting Down the More Guns, Less Crime Hypothesis—we reached two main conclusions: First, that there was no credible statistical evidence that the adoption of concealed-carry (or "shall-issue") laws reduced crime; and second, that the best, although admittedly quite imperfect, data suggested that the laws increased the costs of crime to the tune of $1 billion per year (which is a relatively small number given the total cost of FBI index crimes of roughly $114 billion per year). In their response to our article, Florenz Plassmann and John Whitley (PW) offer two sets of evidence in support of their view that that concealed-carry laws are beneficial: First, they argue that some of our regression specifications really buttress their position; and second, they analyze some new county data for the period 1977-2000. Their first method of proof fails because it simply overlooks—without even a single word of commentary!—the entire thrust of our paper: that aggregated specifications of the effects of these laws are badly marred by "jurisdiction selection" effects. We did not misread these aggregated estimates, as PW suggest; we simply showed that the PW claims based on these aggregated estimates are inaccurate and misleading. The data at every turn reject the idea that concealed-carry laws passed in different jurisdictions have a uniform impact on crime. Therefore, the results of disaggregated regressions must, counter to PW's claim, be taken as a more authoritative assessment of the overall impact of concealed-carry laws.
dc.titleThe Latest Misfires in Support of the More Guns, Less Crime Hypothesis
dc.source.journaltitleFaculty Scholarship Series
refterms.dateFOA2021-11-26T11:35:14Z
dc.identifier.legacycoverpagehttps://digitalcommons.law.yale.edu/fss_papers/1242
dc.identifier.legacyfulltexthttps://digitalcommons.law.yale.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=2241&context=fss_papers&unstamped=1


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